Thing is, these days skill matters about 1/3 as much as lag advantage.
Dunno exactly what it is, but lag has become several times as big a factor as it used to be.
Also, I'm not talking about 3hks or anything like that, but rather the all-round lag of opponents being almost impossible to hit (Sliver etc) or opponents hitting you much easier than you hit them.
Sometimes capturing flags is tenuous (it takes one whole second or longer before you actually take them) making close recaptures hard on one side.

And yes, FS is certainly correct.